Is it working?
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How will we know if the plan is working?

It is said that 'if you do not know where you are going then any road will get you there'. People who get things done are usually clear about what they want to do, how they will do it and, most importantly, how they will know if they have been successful. What is true for an individual person is also true for groups, for businesses and for governments - if you are serious about getting things done then you must be clear about targets, activities and indicators.
if you do not know where you are going then any road will get you there

Target

Activities

Indicators

a clear idea of what you want to do (it helps to say how much you will do by what date) a clear idea of what actions you must take (it helps to make a list of steps to show what you must do first, then second and so on) a clear idea of what you will measure so that you will know if your activities are hitting the target
A poverty monitoring and evaluation system needs clear and precise targets, activities and indicators. This makes it much easier to keep track of what is going on. Monitoring involves measuring as you go along to make sure that you are following the plan. Evaluation involves stopping now and again to review progress and decide whether or not the plan needs to be changed.
Without a good set of targets, activities and indicators you will not really know where you are going and you will not therefore be able to tell if you are getting there or when you have arrived.
The Zanzibar Poverty Reduction Plan is a living document that will develop and mature because of input and feedback from a wide range of sources. At present the plan has more details about targets, activities and indicators in some sectors than in others. This is not a problem because the details will gradually be filled in through discussion, consultation and learning from experience.

Good indicators should be SMART –

bulletspecific,
bulletmeasurable,
bulletagreed,
bullet relevant and
bullet time-framed.

Plans for gathering data

Various sectoral targets are mentioned in other parts of this booklet. Activities and indicators will have to be negotiated for those which do not already have them.

Where possible indicators will be used to gather baseline data so that our rate of progress can be easily measured. Where this is not possible proxy indicators will be used. Participatory Poverty Assessment (PPA) techniques will also be used to put flesh on the bones of raw statistics.

Three main types of data will be gathered:

bulletprimary information will be collected through the census and surveys
bulletroutine records will be gathered from the relevant Ministries eg about Education, Health etc
bullet special information gathering and analyses will be conducted by independent research institutions
An example of a proxy indicator would be the use of 'modern materials for building a house' as a measure of 'household income'

A poverty monitoring and evaluation unit

The process of designing and managing the poverty monitoring and evaluation process will be divided between different organisations but the responsibility for co-ordinating all the activities will lie with a special unit in the Ministry of Finance and Economic Affairs (MOFEA).

The MOFEA unit will organise a broad based system of committeesto make sure that all stakeholders participate and co-ordinate. The government Statistics Department will be responsible for conducting censuses and surveys and the various line ministries will continue to collect routine data and information. Research and academic institutions, including NGOs and consultants, will be employed to collect and analyse specific data.
At the moment there are few Zanzibari NGOs with the skills for the level of research that is needed. The Government will encourage research organisations to develop and will take a lead role where necessary until they take root.
The plan is to extend the Poverty Monitoring and Evaluation tasks to district, ward and village level. This will make sure that there is good, two-way communication between the grass roots and the central policy making bodies.
A system of incentives will be created to encourage the development of high quality Poverty Monitoring and Evaluation activities in the various organisations that are involved. Amongst other things this might include eligibility for funding, training and capacity building.

There are three major strands of activity that have to be costed:

bulleta study to work out staffing, training and equipment needs for collecting, storing and analysing data
bulletdata collection exercises eg the national Household Budget Survey, various annual surveys and Participatory Poverty Assessments
bulletmanaging the monitoring and evaluation of the ZPRP itself

Given the weak capacity within Zanzibar for monitoring and evaluation activity on such a large scale, there will be a need for close co-operation and co-ordination with institutions on the mainland. There may also be need for more technical assistance in Zanzibar than on the Mainland.

Next steps

Following discussion with stakeholders the Government will press ahead with setting up, costing and finding funds for the Poverty Monitoring and Evaluation Unit. The first task of the Unit will be to work out the details of the Poverty Monitoring and Evaluation Plan. At the end of the plan period there will be a major external evaluation which will report on 
  1. changes in the poverty situation as a result of implementing the ZPRP and 
  2. lessons learned and adjustments needed to make the second ZPRP even more effective.

 

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